This week’s additions to the ‘no-deal’ guidelines brings the total to 80
This week’s batch of guidelines from HMG further underline the message that, without a Brexit deal, we Brits face disruption to every aspect of our lives: travel; trade; access to goods and services; and payments for goods and services.
Together, the no-deal notices will make far-reaching and uncomfortable reading for businesses, consumers and government departments. The documents themselves are dry, full of technical language – and are as strictly impartial and impersonal as the civil service is duty bound to make them.
Reactions from Business Leaders, Trade Associations and experts, however, are painting a very human picture as they pile up. The responses are posting thick and fast as, sector by sector, the guidelines are digested and worked through to understand the implications on our every-day business and individual lives.
The cumulative effect is that leaving the EU on 29 March 2019, just 6 months from now, means we are all affected – and it is just a question of degree.
I am taking the unprecedented step of listing the so-called “technical notices” at the end of this article - so profound are the cumulative impacts. From satellites in space circulating Earth, to air, sea and coach transport, to taking your pet into Europe and losing our new-found rights to freely access and use internet services - the guidelines spell out just how much Europe has shaped our lives and how we live them – and how much will be lost by a no-deal Brexit.
My job has been to follow the twists and turns of Brexit negotiations over the last 2 years – so the sheer breadth of Brexit impacts coming from a ‘no-deal’ should have been less of a shock to me than most. But it hasn’t.
The Food and Drink Federation response, broadcast on BBC Radio 4 this morning, is just the latest sector to report. They have concluded that it is a “grisly prospect” should the UK leave the EU with no deal at all. There’s a link to the podcast below – find 15 minutes to listen - it’s chilling. And each of the 80 is no less profound to the future of Britain.
This is not ‘project fear’. Sector by sector, business leaders, industry experts and academics have surely never been so closely aligned in their analysis and forecast of the impacts of a cliff-edge departure from the bloc after 40 years of working together.
With time running out, people and businesses are need to act on some of the advice now and not wait until November in the hope that a deal can be struck. There were reports of a briefing yesterday by a European Commission senior official to EU ambassadors on contingency planning in the event of a breakdown in talks and increasing likelihood of a no-deal. They have made their own minds up on the chances of UK Parliament ratifying any proposal even if one can be negotiated with Brussels.
A leaked document reportedly says that: “Preparedness work has to intensify in the months ahead at national as well as EU level, as uncertainty remains about the outcome of the negotiations and the ratification of a possible deal.”
Jeremy Corbyn speaking at the Labour Party Conference in Liverpool today said that unless the agreement struck in Brussels can deliver “exactly the same benefits” as membership of the single market and the customs union, Labour would vote it down “in order to send the government – if it is still in office – straight back to the negotiating table”.
Corbyn is scheduled to meet EU chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, later this week to explain his position. Whatever the Labour Party intentions, the timing is now so tight that it may force the UK into a “cliff-edge” Brexit. European Parliament Greens Leader, Philippe Lamberts, is sceptical: “Labour position is not to do with principles, but about tactical considerations. It is all about getting the government out of power whatever the cost.”
Meanwhile, according to the leaked document the increasing probability of a no-deal Brexit has prompted the EU’s member states to go over the head of the European commission and assert their right to take “political choices” on potential ‘mini-deals’ with the UK to avoid the worst repercussions of such a scenario, including the grounding of flights between Britain and the EU.
The government said it was pressing to become a "listed" third country when the UK leaves the EU in March 2019, which it says would avoid "burdensome" changes to requirements. Earlier this month, Barnier reprimanded the Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab, after it emerged that the UK government had written to EU capitals to seek bilateral deals on transport, including aviation and haulage.
How sympathetically his approaches have been received was summed up by France’s Finance Minister, Bruno Le Maire, “I’m sorry to say it so callously: there is something more important for us than the future of the UK, and that’s the future of the EU,” he said. “Any decision that would give European citizens the feeling you can exit the EU and keep all the advantages would be suicidal, and we won’t make that decision.”
Further details of the impacts of the technical notices can be found in our other Insight papers – or contact Brexit Partners for further details of how your business will be affected and details of how we can assist in completing an impact analysis and developing a Brexit response.
Apology: I apologise to all pet-lovers for choosing today’s picture to go with this piece. The full impact of a no-deal Brexit is now so stark that I went with an image of an innocent caught up in the repercussions of a decision that is none of its making!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b0bkpjkl (Farming Today 26 September 2018)
UK Government ‘no-deal’ technical notices:
Applying for EU-funded programme
Handling civil legal cases
Importing and exporting
Labelling products and making them safe
Meeting business regulations
Money and tax
Personal data and consumer rights
Protecting the environment
Regulating medicines and medical equipment
Regulating veterinary medicines
Satellites and space
Studying in the UK or the EU
Travelling between the UK and the EU
- May 2019 3
- April 2019 16
- March 2019 31
- February 2019 29
- January 2019 31
- December 2018 28
- November 2018 20
- October 2018 11
- September 2018 12
- August 2018 20
- July 2018 14
- June 2018 4
- May 2018 11
- April 2018 8
- March 2018 6
- February 2018 13
- January 2018 8
- December 2017 8
- November 2017 7
- October 2017 14
- September 2017 4
- June 2017 2